Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.588745 0.676787 0.772939 0.885666 1.014135 1.155914 1.324184
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.488356 0.613916 0.762999 0.952740 1.187495 1.468105 1.828703
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.406728 0.555184 0.745496 1.006549 1.354497 1.801416 2.418130
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.345800 0.509545 0.734892 1.066081 1.538658 2.186719 3.140633
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.286603 0.453790 0.699678 1.085055 1.670832 2.524108 3.856805
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.246303 0.416910 0.683740 1.127478 1.842219 2.942326 4.755715
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.205343 0.370344 0.643881 1.124936 1.943131 3.269034 5.567193
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.177538 0.339737 0.623606 1.149405 2.089800 3.687645 6.587626
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.148124 0.300118 0.580361 1.125893 2.149529 3.968919 7.418270
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.133260 0.284572 0.577220 1.173380 2.341972 4.505633 8.772900
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.122141 0.274091 0.581495 1.234993 2.569393 5.135944 10.387054
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.107505 0.253292 0.561518 1.244627 2.696083 5.592878 11.734050
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093737 0.231928 0.537280 1.242764 2.802296 6.031055 13.121076
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.082242 0.213393 0.515854 1.243324 2.913967 6.496747 14.633864
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.072902 0.198060 0.498862 1.250871 3.042210 7.015431 16.334279
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066222 0.187986 0.492359 1.281765 3.228451 7.685772 18.461729
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.058466 0.173413 0.472222 1.276031 3.327492 8.174813 20.249455
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053448 0.165230 0.466731 1.306092 3.518321 8.901410 22.689925
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.047092 0.151827 0.445061 1.290175 3.590885 9.356956 24.545202
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.042901 0.143919 0.436887 1.309220 3.757357 10.064898 27.119461
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.037454 0.130888 0.411825 1.276730 3.780561 10.415828 28.839739
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.035233 0.127729 0.415005 1.326238 4.038303 11.407895 32.360038
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.033647 0.126353 0.423347 1.392666 4.354818 12.598262 36.566643